Highly Unlikely

I think it is highly unlikely that there will be any play in the Pro40 match between Warwickshire and Essex tomorrow. The general Moseley area was pretty saturated before today, but we have had some torrential rain today and I cannot see how the ground will be playable. I should however point out that you would be well advised to consult some more reliable sources before changing any travel plans.

The Environment Agency currently have a Flood Watch in place on the River Cole and River Rea (which runs past the back of the Hollies Stand). And as a flood modeller, who has recently worked on a model of Birmingham, I can reliably say that the ground itself is at a fairly high risk of fluvial flooding in an moderately extreme event (75 year flood). In which in the entire outfield and outer ground walk-way would be submerged. It is not immediately obvious at ground level, but the topography is such that the outfield is actually lower than the colt's ground as well as the Tally-Ho sports ground, most of Cannon Hill Park and Calthorpe Park, further downstream. Which increases the risk of flooding should the Rea burst its banks.

The indoor school however is several metres higher and would be OK. I would recommend the club invests in some portable temporary flood barriers to erect to keep any flood water off the outfield at the least. But then I am under qualified to offer this opinion as anything other than an educated layman.

Back to the cricket meanwhile and whilst I don't think there is any chance of the ground being flooded tomorrow, the Met Office are showing the forecast as light rain. I think it could well be that this puts pay to any lingering hopes the Bears had of getting promoted in the Pro40, as they needed to win all their remaining matches.